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Climate-L.org
International Conference on Post-Kyoto Climate Change Mitigation Modeling

17-18 June 2010 | Seoul, Republic of Korea

The International Conference on Post-Kyoto Climate Change Mitigation Modeling was held following the Second East Asia Climate Forum from Thursday 17 to Friday 18 June 2010 to provide a forum for climate modeling experts from around the world to discuss greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction analysis. In particular the Conference addressed advancement of GHG reduction analysis modeling in the Post-Kyoto GHG Reduction Regime and facilitated cooperation to improve infrastructure for continued developing country participation in GHG reduction modeling.

Sessions at the Conference included on 17 June: GHG Reduction Analysis Models in Annex I Countries; GHG Reduction Analysis Models in Non-Annex I Countries; and a panel discussion of Non-Annex I countries’ need for a system of collaboration among leading researchers focused on climate change model analysis. IISD RS covered 17 June only, however proceedings will continue with discussions of GHG Reduction Analysis Model Related Issues I – Bottom-up Models and GHG Reduction Analysis Model Related Issues II – Top-down Models, on 18 June.
Group photo of speakers and moderators at the International Conference on Post-Kyoto Climate Mitigation Modeling.
 
OPENING CEREMONY:
 
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MUN Jeong-ho, Vice Minister, Ministry of Environment, Republic of Korea, said that Korea is leading the world in green growth innovation and building a network of overseas experts through these actions.

 

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KIM Sang-Hyup, Presidential Office, Secretary for National Future and Vision, Republic of Korea, discussed the role of the green growth institutes and policies, which will enable Korea to create new jobs and businesses as well as controlling GHG. He noted that the IPCC has identified causes of climate change while the UNFCCC has identified what the world must do to reduce emissions.

 

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KEYNOTE SESSION:
 
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Secretary General WOO Ki-jong, Presidential Committee on Green Growth, Republic of Korea, highlighted Korea’s strategy on climate change, which is based on the vision of low-carbon green-growth.
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Paul Ekins, University College London, discussed modeling low carbon futures at the United Kingdom Energy Research Center (UKERC).
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SESSION 1: GHG REDUCTION ANALYSIS MODELS IN ANNEX 1 COUNTRIES
 
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L-R: Janusz Cofala, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); Keigo Akimoto, Research institute of Innovative Technology for the Earth; and Mattia Romani, London School of Economics.
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L-R: Warwick McKibbin, Australia National University; Ferenc Toth, International Atomic Agency (IAEA); AHN Young-hwan, Greenhouse Gas Inventory & Research Center of Korea (GIR).
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Janusz Cofala, IIASA, presented IIASA’s GHG – Air Pollution Interactions and Synergies (GAINS) Model, which integrates analysis of multiple pollutions and their effects, including health impacts, vegetation damage and radiative forcing through GHG emissions or via aerosols and ozone.
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Keigo Akimoto, Research Institute of Innovative Technology for the Earth, Japan, noted that pledged 2020 targets use different baseline years and marginal abatement costs vary by country; Japan’s marginal abatement costs are high relative to US and EU costs.
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Mattia Romani, London School of Economics, He suggested that emissions will be reduced through higher efficiency and fuel shift, such as electrifying transport and industry.
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Ferenc Toth, IAEA, noted progress over the last twenty years and the enormous diversity of models today.
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Warwick McKibbin, Australia National University, highlighted that there are many ways to see the world, that explicit models force you to write down assumptions and that the value of models are not only the numbers that emerge from them.
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AHN Young-hwan, GIR, said the presentations demonstrate the need for bold up-front investment in decarbonization and that the costs of such action will not be so large due, inter alia, to co-benefits and increased employment.
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Participants listening to plenary presentations.
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SESSION 2: GHG REDUCTION ANALYSIS MODELS IN NON-ANNEX 1 COUNTRIES
 
   
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L-R: SHIN Dong Chun, Yonsei University; Charles Marpaung, Asian Institute of Technology; Charlie Heaps, Stockholm Environmental Institute (SEI) and LEE Kihoon, Chungnam National University
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Rita Mathur, The Energy and Resources Institute, presented on securing low-carbon pathways in India.
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Abul Quasem Al-Amin, University of Malaya, reviewed impacts of climate change on Malaysia and the government`s policy responses.
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Kejun Jiang, Energy Research Institute, discussed low carbon and emission scenarios up to 2050 in China.
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YOO Seung Jick, GIR, presented the experiences of modeling GHG reduction goals in Korea.
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LEE Kihoon, Changnam University, suggested that modelers need to: develop common terms to find consensus; address risk and uncertainty in more detail; apply models to regional versus global levels to address carbon leakage; and concentrate on communication and networking.
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Charlie Heaps, SEI, noted that modeling is a new area of research that is rapidly maturing. He said it is important to separate science and policy, but that communicating results of the models is important.
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Charles Marpaung, Asian Institute of Technology, spoke on climate policy assessment models for GHG emission mitigation in Thailand.
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Shin Dong Chun, Yonsei University, focused on applications of models in developing countries.
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L-R: YOO Seung Jick, GGIRC; Kejun Jiang, Energy Research Institute; Abul Quasem Al-Amin, University of Malaya and Rita Mathur, The Energy and Resources Institute
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RECEPTION:
 
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L-R: YMB team in Seoul with Bill McPherson, Anna Schulz and Franz Dejon
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Related Links
Meeting resources
*Ministry of Environment, Republic of Korea
*Presidential Committee on Green Growth, Republic of Korea

UN resources
*Gateway to the UN System's Work on Climate Change
*Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

IISD RS resources
*IISD RS summary and Analysis of the Thirty-First Session of the IPCC, 26-29 October 2009, Nusa Dua, Bali, Indonesia (English: HTML - PDF) (French: HTML - PDF)
*IISD RS summary and Analysis of the Thirtieth Session of the IPCC, 21-23 April 2009, Antalya, Turkey (English: HTML - PDF) (Spanish: HTML - PDF) (Japanese: PDF)
*IISD RS summary and Analysis of the Twenty-Ninth Session of the IPCC and Twentieth Anniversary of the IPCC, 31 August - 4 September 2008, Geneva, Switzerland (English: HTML - PDF) (French: HTML - PDF) (Spanish: HTML - PDF) (Japanese: PDF)
*IISD RS summary and Analysis of the Twenty-Eighth Session of the IPCC, 9-10 April 2008, Budapest, Hungary (English: HTML - PDF) (French: HTML - PDF) (Spanish: HTML - PDF) (Japanese: PDF)
*IISD RS coverage of the Twenty-seventh Session of the IPCC, 12-17 November 2007, Valencia, Spain
*IISD RS archive of meetings on climate change, and backgrounder
*Climate-L - A mailing list for news on climate change policy
*Linkages Update - Bi-weekly international environment and sustainable development news
*MEA Bulletin - Newsletter on key MEAs and their secretariats
*Climate-L.org - News and information on the actions of international organizations in responding to the problem of global climate change
*African Regional Coverage
*Latin America and Caribbean Regional Coverage
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